Making Sense of Diesel Prices

Making Sense of Diesel Prices

In this case, we examine the highway retail price ($/Gallon) for “No.2 Ultra Low Sulfur (0-15 ppm) Diesel” in the EIA nine (9) PADD regions and carry on principal component analysis in an attempt to find a minimal subset of…

 Calculating CAPM Beta

Calculating CAPM Beta

In this paper, we will apply simple linear regression to calculate the CAPM beta for two technology stocks: Microsoft (MSFT) and IBM, then validate the model’s assumptions, identify influential data-points (e.g. outlier), ensure structural stability over the data sample, and…

 Demystifying Trading Strategy Returns

Demystifying Trading Strategy Returns

In this paper, we’ll examine a claim by a portfolio manager (let’s call him trader B) about his ability to generate statistically significant Alpha. Alpha is the excess-return compensation for the risk borne, and thus commonly used to assess active…

 Predict This

Predict This

The case deals with the predictability of the daily closing EUR/USD exchange rate, given its prior history. First, we constructed a trading strategy where we buy EUR at market open, and close the position (selling EUR) at the market close…